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Post by larrytitan on Nov 21, 2024 8:42:52 GMT -5
I only won $10 for taking the points. A straight money line bet (no points) would have garnered me a $30 payback on a $5 wager.
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Post by JDetroitTitan on Nov 21, 2024 9:47:41 GMT -5
Nice win. I like that the team kept there foot on the gas throughout the game. Team definitely improved from last game. Hope this team keeps trending up because they have a high ceiling.
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Post by akhorey on Nov 21, 2024 11:11:55 GMT -5
KenPom gave us a 19% chance to win; he was off by only 81 percentage points. And he was about spot on for predicting our score; he just overestimated Ball State by 20 points. KenPom's formula still hates us, though we've moved up to #319. Ball State is #281; Niagara has dropped to #334. Kenpom just has too many numbers to move up more than 20-30 spots with 1 win how far we are down. Our Efficency margin (points scored per 100 poss - points given up per 100) is down to -12 from -15. It takes team history into account as well so we are well behind the 8 ball but to see a one game jump like that shows you they will be much better than predicted. But realistically any analytical model wouldn’t be able to tell you what this team would be able to produce on paper because so many new guys that haven’t played at the d1 level before.
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